In todays’ Daily Forex Review, we discuss the unfolding economic events of the day including the New Building Permits coming out of the United States.
Further technical analysis of the Dow Jones,
Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), Gold, Oil, Australian Dollar (AUD/USD), Great Britain Pound (GBP/USD) is discussed in the presentation.
The CMTrading Trading analysis for Monday 27 February 2017, looking at what to look out for in Trump’s Speech and Janet Yellen’s on Friday.
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The ECB’s Villeroy and recently appointed Bank of France Governor has gone all negative nelly pointing out the patently obvious that central banks recent struggle with deflationary forces is nowhere near being over. However he added that the ECB was determined to uphold its mandate to bring back inflation to below but close to 2 percent. When asked whether there was any limit to negative interest rates, he replied in the classic central banker doublespeak form by saying, “that’s maybe where the practical limit is.” Mr Villeroy made headlines yesterday as well touting his one dream one Eurozone concept aiming to centralize all treasury functions. So it should come as no surprise that he is quick to point out the flaws in the current status quo and grabbing more and more column inches.
The situation in China is becoming bleaker by the day, it transpires that S&P have downgraded 13 Chinese companies this year and upgraded only one, the worst ratio since 2006. With over $22.6 billion of offshore bonds from the nation being rated one notch above junk there is undoubtedly a lot of pain to come and only a few defaults short of a catastrophe. Furthermore many more companies are going to be in the firing line and the market is preparing itself for a large number of additional downgrades. There is the beginnings of a “mini-panic” and as the fallen angels continue to present a major risk to investors this year it is well worth noting that over 40% of 2015’s downgrades on China credits came in the fourth quarter.
The dollar and the pound are in the headlines today, while oil and gold are both on the rise. In the US, the FOMC has taken a cautious approach toward further rate hikes, while in Britain the chances are rising of a “Brexit” from the European Union. Click here to read the full report.