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US President Trump criticized Fed’s policy on interest rate hikes yesterday, contrary to Fed Chair Powell’s testimony on Tuesday’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report where he supported Fed’s gradual approach to hiking.
Today is the official start of the 3rd quarter of this year and we could expect investors to rebalance their portfolio, which means sizeable trades may be seen.
Since Monday Euro, Sterling and Gold rose while Dollar, Yen and Crude Oil fell. Today, I would like to focus on Oil, as we are expecting EIA to report its weekly stocks, and also, on the Euro-Dollar, as this is the most tradable currency pair and opportunities are always in play.
Last week European politics and trade war narratives ruled the markets. Euro declined amid Italian risk while Dollar fell against Yen on concerns surrounding another potential US-China trade war. Global markets were influenced also by Spanish politics and potential import tariffs on metals from initially excluded countries.
Trump’s address to the joint session on congress is on the agenda this week. His speech may be light on details and while the speech may be bullish for the dollar initially, this analyst wonders how long this will last.
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The dollar gained as markets gained markets are optimistic about President Elect Trump. Emerging markets collapsed as a result.
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